Corporate America is in crisis. Scandals,
bankruptcies, questionable accounting and
the like are eroding public trust. Poorly
timed or possibly even fraudulent stock
sales by key company executives are igniting
legislative action. The overall economy is
struggling, the stock market is in a heightened
state of volatility, and investor confidence has
plummeted so low that CEOs are now legally
required to sign a pledge of honesty.
As a result, all the goodwill created by corporate
America with the gains of the 1990s
has vanished. Executive pay is once again
under heavy public scrutiny, and calls to link
pay with accurate measures of performance
are louder than ever before.
Executive pay, especially CEO pay, has become
a lightning rod for this collapse in investor
confidence for a number of reasons. CEO pay
levels in a few instances have reached into the
hundreds of millions of dollars for a single year,
raising the question of whether any employee
is worth that type of money — especially in
cases of a company’s mediocre or even poor
performance. There also have been recent
examples of overstated profits or outright
fraud. Such situations are compounded by
the ability of executives to time the exercise
of their options and the sale of their stock, and
by the fact that stock options are accounted for
differently from other forms of compensation.
We believe that the executive pay situation
offers a key window into the corporate
governance crisis facing America and,
accordingly, provides a possible solution.
The companies with the pay governance
processes that are most transparent and most
aligned will be the ones to inspire the most
investor confidence.
Watson Wyatt research clearly and consistently
documents that a company’s executive pay
levels are directly and positively correlated
with its financial performance. Companies
that give their executives a greater stock
incentive opportunity outperform companies
with lower opportunity. We also have found
that companies with high levels of stock
ownership at the executive and other employee
levels substantially outperform their low stock
ownership counterparts. In fact, our research
has shown that stock ownership is more
effective than stock options in this regard.
The research in our 2003 Executive Pay/Stock Option Overhang study bears this out.
In particular, our findings show:
- Companies with senior executives with
high stock ownership financially outperform
companies with lower executive
ownership. This performance is measured
by Total Returns to Shareholders (TRS),
Return on Equity, Earnings Per Share (EPS)
growth and Tobin’s Q, among others.
- Companies with high actual CEO pay have
better historical financial performance, as
measured by TRS, than companies with
low actual pay.
- Both cash compensation and stock option
profits are highly sensitive to shareholder
returns.
- Stock options remain a positive factor in
company and economic performance
despite the current economic uncertainty
and the fact that fewer options are now
being exercised. However, our research also
shows that companies with excessively
large amounts of stock option “overhang”
have lower returns to shareholders than
companies with more moderate usage.
In addition, the optimal point in stock
option overhang has gone down dramatically
for companies in the high-tech sector.
To better understand some of the concerns of
investors, we have investigated the impact of
executive pay and stock option overhang on
financial performance. The world of executive
pay could change in unpredictable ways over
the next few years. We believe that our statistical
research on pay, ownership and options
could be helpful in setting the future direction.
This report details those findings. The first
section focuses on executive pay; the second
on stock option overhang. It is interesting to
note that, if the rules for accounting of stock
options change significantly (as we now think
likely), it is possible that stock option overhang
will become a less important measure.
For now, however, these historically reliable
gauges continue to offer valuable insights.